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THE WEEKLY BEAR TRAP - Picks for the CJ Cup at Nine Bridges 2019

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  • THE WEEKLY BEAR TRAP - Picks for the CJ Cup at Nine Bridges 2019




    JAYALGER’S WEEKLY BEAR TRAP


    “Sports is the best means of communication between people from different religions and countries.” – Yao Ming

    PICKS FOR THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES 2019

    Brief Last Tournament Review - CIMB 2019
    Golfer Position DK Pts
    S.Cink T13 100.5
    K.Na T19 97.5
    X.Schauffele T25 102.0
    C.T.Pan T30 91.5
    C.Reavie T43 86.5
    R.Cabrera-Bello T50 81.5

    Cumulative Picks (2018-19) - #Picks - 12, #Tournaments - 2, Winner - 1, Top 5 - 2 (16.7%), Top 10 - 3 (25.0%), Top 25 - 7 (58.3%), Made Cut - 11 (91.7%)

    Brief Tournament Information
    • Limited field event with 78 golfers. It includes 60 from atop the FedEx Cup standings and sponsors exemptions
    • NO CUT EVENT
    • Justin Thomas won last year in a playoff with Marc Leishman, who won last week’s CIMB Classic. They both finished at -9 to force a playoff.
    • Similar to last week, scoring on the par 5s will be essential. With it being a no cut event birdies will be important. I will also look at par 4 scoring in the 400-450 as most of the par 4s fall in that range. Lastly, I will give an slight edge to those golfers who play out of the san well (sand saves) with the large number of bunkers on this course. As usual, T2G and SG:APP are always important every week.
    • Lock is WEDNESDAY NIGHT!
    • Look for weather to be a major influence. Justin Thomas finished the first round at -9. Then the winds kicked up during the next three rounds making the course very difficult, and Nine Bridges ended up being the fourth most difficult course on tour. Currently, the forecast calls for winds coming from the north in the mid-teens for Thursday, and then it lightens up slightly with winds moving in a southern direction in the upper single digits for Friday through Sunday. Check Windfinder.com for updates for local weather and search for Jungmun, South Korea.

    My Top Picks This Week

    DK - Above 10k

    Justin Thomas (DK $11600, FD $13100, Odds 6/1) - This week I’m not going to overthink it. JT, despite playing relatively poorly for his standards, he still managed to finish T5 at -20 last week. He is the head of the class by far in all stat categories, and, oh yeah, he won this event last year. There is no reason to fade him in cash, but in GPPs you could argue to fade him because of probable high ownership. But, if he wins (a 6/1 favorite) then you’re screwed. Pivot elsewhere.

    DK - 9k

    Gary Woodland (DK $9100, FD $11000, Odds 35/1) - Woodland has been in great recent form making 12 consecutive cuts after missing four straight cuts during the middle of last season. He finished well at the CIMB last week finishing T5, and did okay last year at Nine Bridges finishing T40. He ranks high in stats this week with his only Achilles heel is his putting, however, he has been putting well in his last five events. I’m going to ride his current form until he falls apart.

    DK - 8k

    Kyle Stanley (DK $8200, FD $9500, Odds 50/1) - Stanley has been a staple of my picks and shows up several times during the season. He is an excellent ball striker who able to navigate any course with his only downfall, in a similar fashion to Woodland, is his putting. Otherwise, he ranks high in the field in almost all of the stat categories in consideration this week. He had a fairly successful run through all four segments of the FedEx playoffs including two top 15s. He also started the fall swing well with a T13. He should continue with his ball striking ways and make value with upside to win.

    Kevin Na (DK $8100, FD $9500, Odds 50/1) - Na continues to meet value with his T19 last week and so I’m going to ride the Na train again this week at $500 cheaper. He ranks in the top third in this field in my stat categories over the last 24 rounds. He did play the CJ Cup last year and finished T47. He does play well on Bentgrass and in windy conditions. He should easily meet value again.


    DK - 7k and below

    Joaquin Neimann (DK $7600, FD $9900, Odds 40/1) - Neimann took the PGA Tour by storm when he first hit the tour last season but fizzled a bit but the end of the season. He started the fall season with a poor performance at the Safeway but he should be able to rebound at this Nine Bridges. He has the skill set to play well and ranks in the top third in all of the stat categories this week. He is a bit of a risk with his young age and inexperience, but he should be a force on Tour. It could start in Korea.

    Joel Dahmen (DK $6900, FD $7400, Odds 175/1) - Dahmen is a bit of a long shot but I think he can compete here. He had three top 8s before missing the cut at the first two legs of the FedEx Playoffs. He has been trending up in his last two events of the fall swing with a T46 at the Safeway and T26 last week. He is top 10 in all stats this week in this field except putting. If he putts field average however, he should find himself on the leaderboard on Sunday.

    Anyway, I hope that this helps you in your own process to select your golfers for this week. Please leave me any questions, comments, suggestions or any rants and touts you would like to discuss either here on DFSChat.com, on twitter @algertorr, or on DK/FD/FDR jayalger. Good luck this week and hope one (or more) of you readers take down a GPP!





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